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EP

EAGLE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. (EGRX)·Q3 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2023 results were not reported: Eagle delayed its release and call to review potential adjustments to PEMFEXY sales reporting; the Audit Committee later concluded Q2 2023 financials should not be relied upon, and the company missed the Q3 10‑Q deadline, triggering an event of default under its credit agreement .
  • Management said FY2023 guidance will be revised downward and later stated prior guidance should no longer be relied upon; this follows a Q2 raise to adjusted EBITDA $78–$84M and EPS $4.40–$4.70 earlier in 2023 .
  • Operations in the period saw positive strategic updates: CMS granted Barhemsys a unique J‑code (effective Jan 1, 2024) and transitional pass‑through status (effective Oct 1, 2023), and the USPTO granted a new PEMFEXY patent; management cited 24% commercial (non‑340B) pemetrexed share exiting Q3 .
  • No Q3 earnings call transcript is available; the call was postponed, reducing near‑term visibility. Management expressed confidence in the 2024 outlook despite the review .
  • Key stock reaction catalysts: resolution of the financial review, restated/actual Q3 results and guidance reset, credit agreement waiver, and reimbursement/patent traction for Barhemsys/PEMFEXY .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Barhemsys reimbursement tailwinds: CMS granted a unique J‑code (J‑0184, effective Jan 1, 2024) and transitional pass‑through status in ASC/HOPD (effective Oct 1, 2023), which should facilitate access and separate reimbursement outside bundled payments .
  • PEMFEXY IP strengthened: USPTO granted U.S. Patent No. 11,793,813 (expires 2036); PEMFEXY held a unique J‑code and reached ~24% commercial (non‑340B) pemetrexed market share exiting Q3, per management .
  • Prior-quarter profitability quality: Q2 gross margin was 74% (83% ex amortization); oncology non‑GAAP gross profit improved to $43.8M (84% margin) vs $38.7M (72%) LY, driven by PEMFEXY growth and royalty dynamics .

What Went Wrong

  • Financial reporting issues: Q3 results delayed due to review of potential adjustments to PEMFEXY sales reporting; management estimated $15–$20M of reserve-related adjustments across Q2/Q3 and identified material weaknesses in ICFR; Q2 financials must be restated and not relied upon .
  • Guidance uncertainty: Company expects 2023 guidance to be revised downward; later disclosed previously issued guidance should no longer be relied upon, increasing opacity into near‑term earnings .
  • Covenant/default risk: Failure to timely deliver Q3 financials triggered an event of default under the credit agreement; absent waivers, lenders could accelerate debt and foreclose on pledged assets, which would materially affect the business .

Financial Results

Summary Financials (GAAP unless noted)

MetricQ1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023
Revenue ($USD Millions)$66.3 $64.6 N/A – results delayed; financial review ongoing
Diluted EPS ($)$0.44 $0.39 N/A – results delayed
Gross Margin %74% 74% N/A – results delayed
Adjusted non‑GAAP EBITDA ($USD Millions)$22.3 $20.7 N/A – results delayed

Notes: Q3 2023 results were not released; the Audit Committee determined Q2 2023 should be restated; the company is allocating an estimated $15–$20M reserve adjustment between Q2 and Q3 .

Product/Segment Detail

Item ($USD Millions)Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023
PEMFEXY Net Product Sales$22.9 $19.4 N/A – results delayed
BELRAPZO Net Product Sales$6.4 $6.8 N/A – results delayed
RYANODEX Net Product Sales$8.8 $10.0 N/A – results delayed
Barhemsys + Byfavo Net SalesNot disclosed (combined “just shy of $1M,” qualitative) $1.2 N/A – results delayed
Royalty Revenue$20.1 $21.7 N/A – results delayed
Total Revenue$66.3 $64.6 N/A – results delayed

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent/Updated GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDA (non‑GAAP)FY 2023 (as of May 9)$74.0–$80.0M
Adjusted EPS (non‑GAAP)FY 2023 (as of May 9)$4.20–$4.53
Adjusted R&D (non‑GAAP)FY 2023 (as of May 9)$41.0–$45.0M
Adjusted SG&A (non‑GAAP)FY 2023 (as of May 9)$86.0–$90.0M
Adjusted EBITDA (non‑GAAP)FY 2023 (as of Aug 8)$78.0–$84.0M Raised vs May
Adjusted EPS (non‑GAAP)FY 2023 (as of Aug 8)$4.40–$4.70 Raised vs May
Adjusted R&D (non‑GAAP)FY 2023 (as of Aug 8)$41.0–$45.0M Maintained
Adjusted SG&A (non‑GAAP)FY 2023 (as of Aug 8)$86.0–$90.0M Maintained
All FY 2023 guidanceAs of Nov 9Expected to be revised downward; results delayed Lowered (to be revised)
All FY 2023 guidanceAs of Dec 15Previously issued guidance should no longer be relied upon Withdrawn (no longer reliable)

KPIs

KPIQ4 2022 ExitQ1 2023 UpdateQ2 2023Q3 2023
PEMFEXY share (commercial, non‑340B pemetrexed)~6% ~15% (as of Q2‑to‑date) ~21% (leaving Q2) ~24% (exiting Q3)
Barhemsys + Byfavo patients dosed (quarter)~19,000

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2023)Current Period (Q3 2023)Trend
Product performance – PEMFEXYShare ramp: 6% exit 2022 to 15% by Q2‑to‑date; $22.9M Q1 sales; $19.4M Q2 sales; stronger margins post royalty buy‑down Patent granted; mgmt cites ~24% share exiting Q3 Improving operationally; accounting review clouds visibility
Hospital launches – Barhemsys/ByfavoRelaunch gaining traction; ~19k patients in Q2; $1.2M sales; unique J‑code for Byfavo (effective Jul 1, 2023) Barhemsys receives unique J‑code (effective Jan 1, 2024) and pass‑through (Oct 1, 2023) Improving access/reimbursement
Guidance/margin narrativeQ1 guidance set; Q2 reiterated raised guidance; GM 74% (83% ex amortization); oncology non‑GAAP gross profit up Guidance to be revised downward and later deemed unreliable Deteriorating
Internal controls/financial reportingDelay of Q3 results; potential $15–$20M reserve adjustments; ICFR material weaknesses; Q2 non‑reliance; covenant default
R&D execution (CAL02, EA‑114)CAL02 Phase 2 underway; QIDP and Fast Track; Type C meeting for EA‑114 planned in Aug No specific new R&D disclosures in Q3 docs reviewedStable/Mixed

Management Commentary

  • “We remain confident in the strength of our business and our outlook for 2024, and we look forward to reporting on our commercial portfolio, progress on our pipeline and other initiatives.” — Scott Tarriff, President & CEO, upon announcing the Q3 delay .
  • “This is now the fourth consecutive quarter in which we have beaten consensus estimates.” — Scott Tarriff, Q2 call .
  • “Our gross margin percent, excluding amortization in the first half of this year was 83% compared to 74% in the first half of last year.” — Scott Tarriff, Q2 call .
  • On Barhemsys/Byfavo ramp: “Our expectation is that this growth rate… is going to continue into the foreseeable future.” — Scott Tarriff, Q2 call .
  • On margin drivers: expiration/buy‑down of royalties improved profitability, partially offset by amortization on acquired products — CFO Brian Cahill, Q2 call .

Q&A Highlights

  • Seasonality and gross margin drivers: RYANODEX cycles around product expiry; margin uplift driven by expired bendamustine royalties and PEMFEXY royalty buy‑down, partially offset by amortization on acquired assets .
  • Barhemsys/Byfavo trajectory: management expects steady multi‑quarter growth from a small base, citing strong user feedback and increasing account penetration .
  • Capital allocation/M&A: lining up financing to support a potential accretive acquisition (bias toward oncology where infrastructure can scale with minimal incremental expense) .
  • Landiolol launch timing: cautious on launching into summer; focus remains on sustaining the hospital products’ ramp .
    Note: No Q3 2023 earnings call was held; these highlights are from Q1/Q2 calls and frame the narrative heading into Q3 .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q3 2023 revenue/EPS could not be retrieved via our tool; therefore we cannot provide a formal “vs. estimates” comparison at this time. Management stated on the Q2 call that the company had beaten consensus for four consecutive quarters through Q2 2023 .
  • Implication: Absent reported Q3 figures and verified consensus, near‑term estimate resets will depend on restated/actual results and guidance re‑issuance following completion of the financial review .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near‑term overhang: Q3 financials are delayed; Q2 requires restatement; material ICFR weaknesses identified; and a credit agreement event of default occurred—visibility and balance sheet risk until waivers and filings are resolved .
  • Guidance reset coming: Prior FY2023 guidance is no longer reliable; expect meaningful estimate revisions once the review concludes and the company re‑guides .
  • Offsetting operational positives: Barhemsys reimbursement wins (J‑code, pass‑through) and PEMFEXY patent/market share gains support medium‑term revenue mix quality once reporting issues clear .
  • Margin structure remains attractive ex amortization: Q2 GM 74% (83% ex amortization) with oncology mix favorable; sustainability contingent on PEMFEXY trajectory and hospital product ramps .
  • Watchlist of catalysts: (1) filing of amended Q2 and Q3 10‑Qs, (2) lender waivers/amendments, (3) re‑establishment of FY outlook, (4) Barhemsys utilization acceleration post J‑code and pass‑through, (5) further PEMFEXY IP/enforcement and share trends .
  • Positioning: For trading, headline risk remains elevated until the accounting review resolves; for medium‑term thesis, reimbursement/IP tailwinds and prior profitability indicate potential for recovery if governance/controls are remediated .

Appendix: Additional Context (Prior Two Quarters)

  • Q1 2023: Revenue $66.3M; EPS $0.44; GM 74%; adjusted EBITDA $22.3M; initial FY2023 guidance adj. EBITDA $74–$80M, EPS $4.20–$4.53 .
  • Q2 2023: Revenue $64.6M; EPS $0.39; GM 74% (83% ex amortization); adjusted EBITDA $20.7M; raised FY2023 guidance to adj. EBITDA $78–$84M and EPS $4.40–$4.70 .

All citations:

  • Q3 delay and guidance revision:
  • Non‑reliance, ICFR weaknesses, and event of default:
  • Q1 results and guidance:
  • Q2 results and raised guidance:
  • Barhemsys reimbursement (J‑code, pass‑through):
  • PEMFEXY patent and share:
  • PEMFEXY share ramp (Q1/Q2 calls):

No Q3 2023 earnings call transcript was available; the call was postponed . S&P Global consensus for Q3 could not be retrieved via our tool; a formal “vs. estimates” comparison is therefore unavailable at this time.